Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.414543 0.458937 0.506662 0.561879 0.624120 0.692240 0.772618
2025-05-11 0.343050 0.404334 0.475120 0.563335 0.670888 0.798467 0.962312
2025-05-18 0.304896 0.374582 0.459022 0.569697 0.712137 0.890919 1.134868
2025-05-25 0.269457 0.341894 0.433020 0.557323 0.724393 0.943925 1.258804
2025-06-01 0.249707 0.325961 0.425122 0.565299 0.761224 1.029669 1.432873
2025-06-08 0.229274 0.306628 0.410119 0.560999 0.779210 1.089408 1.574862
2025-06-15 0.214970 0.293976 0.402488 0.565294 0.808417 1.166289 1.748790
2025-06-22 0.198764 0.277131 0.387257 0.556704 0.817020 1.212308 1.878885
2025-06-29 0.185507 0.263338 0.375067 0.551090 0.828836 1.263241 2.021062
2025-07-06 0.169179 0.243819 0.352911 0.528261 0.811333 1.265459 2.081319
2025-07-13 0.162224 0.237707 0.350235 0.535164 0.841377 1.346805 2.285477
2025-07-20 0.155736 0.231792 0.347307 0.541186 0.870098 1.428040 2.498124
2025-07-27 0.149068 0.225293 0.343215 0.545297 0.896504 1.508821 2.722006
2025-08-03 0.142280 0.218172 0.337641 0.546478 0.917918 1.582855 2.942620
2025-08-10 0.137103 0.213255 0.335210 0.552636 0.948384 1.675897 3.212032
2025-08-17 0.128865 0.202819 0.322957 0.540686 0.944719 1.704258 3.352192
2025-08-24 0.124918 0.199231 0.321902 0.548388 0.978004 1.806546 3.661329
2025-08-31 0.119182 0.192278 0.314638 0.544236 0.988231 1.864034 3.879930
2025-09-07 0.115270 0.188192 0.312039 0.548383 1.014740 1.956754 4.189974
2025-09-14 0.109631 0.180802 0.303172 0.540087 1.015732 1.996385 4.381546
2025-09-21 0.104829 0.174620 0.296091 0.534665 1.022001 2.047646 4.607731
2025-09-28 0.097876 0.164284 0.280948 0.512614 0.992170 2.017596 4.629139
2025-10-05 0.095510 0.162038 0.280455 0.519282 1.023073 2.124972 5.013402